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11 December 2019 | Story Leonie Bolleurs
Aids read more

According to Global Statistics, there were approximately 37,9 million people across the globe with HIV/Aids in 2018. They also state that in 2018, an estimated 1,7 million individuals worldwide became newly infected with HIV. 

In the city of Masvingo, Zimbabwe, Claris Shoko is a Statistics lecturer at the Great Zimbabwe University. In her PhD thesis at the University of the Free State (UFS) in the Department of Mathematical Statistics and Actuarial Sciences, she presented the argument that the inclusion of both the CD4 cell count and the viral-load counts in the monitoring and management of HIV+ patients on antiretroviral therapy (ART), is helping in reducing mortality rates, leading to improved life expectancy for HIV/Aids patients. 

She received her doctoral degree at the December UFS Graduation Ceremonies, with her thesis: Continuous-time Markov modelling of the effects of treatment regimens on HIV/Aids immunology and virology. 

CD4 cell count and viral-load count

Dr Shoko explains: “When the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) enters the human body, the virus attacks the CD4 cells in their blood. This process damages CD4 cells, causing the number of white blood cells in the body to drop, making it difficult to fight infections.”

“Clinical markers such as CD4 cell count and viral-load count (number of HIV particles in a ml of blood) provide information about the progression of HIV/Aids in infected individuals. These markers fully define the immunology and the virology of HIV-infected individuals, thereby giving us a clear picture of how HIV/Aids evolve within an individual.”

Dr Shoko continues: “The development of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) has helped substantially to reduce the death rate from HIV. HAART reduces viral load-count levels, blocking replication of HIV particles in the blood, resulting in an increase of CD4 cell counts and the life expectancy of individuals infected with HIV. This has made CD4 cell counts and viral-load counts the fundamental laboratory markers that are regularly used for patient management, in addition to predicting HIV/Aids disease progression or treatment outcomes.”

In the treatment of HIV/Aids, medical practitioners prescribe combination therapy to attack the virus at different stages of its life cycle, and medication to treat the opportunistic infections that may occur. “The introduction of combined antiretroviral therapy (cART) has led to the dramatic reduction in morbidity and mortality at both individual level and population level,” states Dr Shoko.

Once HIV-positive patients are put on cART, the effectiveness of treatment is monitored after the first three months and a further follow-up is done every six months thereafter. During the monitoring stages, CD4 cell count and viral load is measured. Patients are also screened for any tuberculosis (TB) co-infection and checked for any signs of drug resistance. These variables determine whether or not there is a need for treatment change. 

She continues: “Previous studies on HIV modelling could not include both CD4 cell count and viral load in one model, because of the collinearity between the two variables. In this study, the principal component approach for the treatment of collinearity between variables is used. Both variables were then included in one model, resulting in a better prediction of mortality than when only one of the variables is used.”

“Viral-load monitoring helps in checking for any possibilities of virologic failure or viral rebound, which increases the rate of mortality if not managed properly. CD4 cell count then comes in to monitor the potential development of opportunistic infections such as TB. TB is extremely fatal, but once detected and treated, the survival of HIV/Aids patients is assured,” Dr Shoko explains.

Markov model

She applied the Markov model in her study. The model, named after the Russian mathematician Andrey Markov, represents a general category of stochastic processes, characterised by six basic attributes: states, stages, actions, rewards, transitions, and constraints. 

According to Dr Shoko, Markov models assume that a patient is always in one of a finite number of discrete states, called Markov states. All events are modelled as transitions from one state to another. Each state is assigned a utility, and the contribution of this utility to the overall prognosis depends on the length of time spent in each state. For example, for a patient who is HIV positive, these states could be HIV+ (CD4 cell count above 200 cells/mm3), Aids (CD4 cell count below 200 cells/mm3) and Dead.

“Markov models are ideal for use in HIV/Aids studies, because they estimate the rate of transition between multiple-disease states while allowing for the possible reversibility of some states,” says Dr Shoko, quoting Hubbard and Zhou.

“Relatively fewer HIV modelling studies include a detailed description of the dynamics of HIV viral load count during stages of HIV disease progression. This could be due to the unavailability of data on viral load, particularly from low- and middle-income countries that have historically relied on monitoring CD4 cell counts for patients on ART because of higher costs of viral load-count testing,” Dr Shoko concludes

News Archive

Gender bias still rife in African Universities
2007-08-03

 

 At the lecture were, from the left: Prof. Magda Fourie (Vice-Rector: Academic Planning), Prof. Amina Mama (Chair: Gender Studies, University of Cape Town), Prof. Engela Pretorius (Vice-Dean: Humanties) and Prof. Letticia Moja (Dean: Faculty of Health Sciences).
Photo: Stephen Collett

Gender bias still rife in African Universities

Women constitute about 30% of student enrolment in African universities, and only about 6% of African professors are women. This is according to the chairperson of Gender Studies at the University of Cape Town, Prof Amina Mama.

Prof Mama was delivering a lecture on the topic “Rethinking African Universities” as part of Women’s Day celebrations at the University of the Free State (UFS) today.

She says the gender profile suggests that the majority of the women who work in African universities are not academics and researchers, but rather the providers of secretarial, cleaning, catering, student welfare and other administrative and support services.

She said that African universities continue to display profound gender bias in their students and staffing profiles and, more significantly, are deeply inequitable in their institutional and intellectual cultures. She said women find it difficult to succeed at universities as they are imbued with patriarchal values and assumptions that affect all aspects of life and learning.

She said that even though African universities have never excluded women, enrolling them presents only the first hurdle in a much longer process.

“The research evidence suggests that once women have found their way into the universities, then gender differentiations continue to arise and to affect the experience and performance of women students in numerous ways. Even within single institutions disparities manifest across the levels of the hierarchy, within and across faculties and disciplines, within and between academic and administrative roles, across generations, and vary with class and social background, marital status, parental status, and probably many more factors besides these”, she said.

She lamented the fact that there is no field of study free of gender inequalities, particularly at postgraduate levels and in the higher ranks of academics. “Although more women study the arts, social sciences and humanities, few make it to professor and their research and creative output remains less”, she said.

Prof Mama said gender gaps as far as employment of women within African universities is concerned are generally wider than in student enrolment. She said although many women are employed in junior administrative and support capacities, there continues to be gross under-representation of women among senior administrative and academic staff. She said this disparity becomes more pronounced as one moves up the ranks.

“South African universities are ahead, but they are not as radically different as their policy rhetoric might suggest. A decade and a half after the end of apartheid only three of the 23 vice-chancellors in the country are women, and women fill fewer than 30% of the senior positions (Deans, Executive Directors and Deputy Vice-Chancellors)”, she said.

She made an observation that highly qualified women accept administrative positions as opposed to academic work, thus ensuring that men continue to dominate the ranks of those defined as ‘great thinkers’ or ‘accomplished researchers’.

“Perhaps women simply make realistic career choices, opting out of academic competition with male colleagues who they can easily perceive to be systematically advantaged, not only within the institution, but also on the personal and domestic fronts, which still see most African women holding the baby, literally and figuratively”, she said

She also touched on sexual harassment and abuse which she said appears to be a commonplace on African campuses. “In contexts where sexual transactions are a pervasive feature of academic life, women who do succeed are unlikely to be perceived as having done so on the basis of merit or hard work, and may be treated with derision and disbelief”, she said.

She, however, said in spite of broader patterns of gender and class inequality in universities, public higher education remains a main route to career advancement and mobility for women in Africa.

“Women’s constrained access has therefore posed a constraint to their pursuit of more equitable and just modes of political, economic and social development, not to mention freedom from direct oppression”, she said.

Prof Mama concluded by saying, “There is a widely held agreement that there is a need to rethink our universities and to ensure that they are transformed into institutions more compatible with the democratic and social justice agendas that are now leading Africa beyond the legacies of dictatorship, conflict and economic crisis, beyond the deep social divisions and inequalities that have characterised our history”.

She said rethinking universities means asking deeper questions about gender relations within them, and taking concerted and effective action to transform these privileged bastions of higher learning so that they can fulfil their pubic mandate and promise instead of lagging behind our steadily improving laws and policies.

Media Release
Issued by: Mangaliso Radebe
Assistant Director: Media Liaison
Tel: 051 401 2828
Cell: 078 460 3320
E-mail: radebemt.stg@ufs.ac.za  
02 August 2007
 

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