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Winter School Law
Academics, legal practitioners and students gathered at the 2025 Winter School and Conference on Constitutionalism in Africa to engage on unconstitutional changes of government.

The Faculty of Law at the University of the Free State (UFS), in collaboration with the African Network of Constitutional Lawyers (ANCL), hosted its second Winter School and Conference on Constitutionalism in Africa from 28 to 31 July 2025. 

Held on the UFS Bloemfontein Campus, the event brought together academics, legal practitioners, judges, students, and political leaders from across the continent to engage with one of Africa’s most urgent challenges: unconstitutional changes of government (UCGs).

This year’s theme, ‘Unconstitutional Changes of Government in Africa’, offered a platform for dynamic, relevant, and often difficult conversations. Over four days, participants explored the historical and colonial underpinnings of UCGs, as well as their causes, manifestations, and possible solutions. The programme also encouraged critical and policy-informed discussions that reflected a shared commitment to democratic governance, constitutional accountability, and African-led solutions.

 

A platform rooted in urgency, solidarity, and African solutions

There was a clear sense among speakers and attendees that constitutionalism in Africa is facing a critical moment, and that academic spaces like the Winter School are necessary not only to understand this crisis, but to respond to it. Dr Jacques Matthee, Vice-Dean for Learning, Teaching, Innovation and Digitalisation in the UFS Faculty of Law, captured the broader sentiment: “We are reminded of the power of intellectual community, of dialogue across borders, and of our shared commitment to democratic values, justice, and accountability across the continent.”

He added that what united the participants was not just “a theme of urgent relevance, but also the growing conviction that solutions to Africa’s constitutional challenges must emerge from Africa itself”. The conference, he said, reaffirmed that, “The true impact of a law faculty is not measured by rankings or buildings, but by the values it cultivates and the contribution it makes to society.” Hosting the Winter School, then, became “a living testament to the values of openness, scholarship, African solidarity and justice”.

 

African voices on legal and political instability

The programme was shaped by diverse African voices, offering a range of insights into the erosion and resilience of constitutional frameworks. The Winter School featured keynote addresses by leading scholars in the field of constitutional law. Prof Charles Fombad, Director of the Institute for International and Comparative Law in Africa at the University of Pretoria, delivered a lecture on ‘Unconstitutional Changes in Government: Comparative Perspectives, Patterns, Problems and Prospects’. Prof Karin van Marle, Research Chair in Gender, Transformation, and Worldmaking at the University of the Western Cape, explored ‘Unconstitutional Changes in Government: Gender Implications and Preventative Strategies’. Prof Wahab Egbewole, Vice-Chancellor of the University of Ilorin and Senior Advocate of Nigeria, presented on ‘Understanding and Predicting Unconstitutional Changes of Government: Megatrends, Causes, Effects and Legacies’.  

Khanya Motshabi, Senior Lecturer in the UFS Faculty of Law’s Department of Public Law and one of the coordinators of the conference, said the theme for this year’s Winter School emerged “almost naturally” from both recent developments across the continent and last year’s theme, ‘Confronting the “Crisis” of Democratic Constitutionalism in Africa’. 

“We had a longish period of democratisation linked partly to the NEPAD initiative, but also to global geopolitical conditions… which created space for the expansion of democratic constitutionalist habit on our continent,” Motshabi explained. “And then a massive regression, which signalled us quite powerfully that constitutionalism in Africa is indeed in crisis.”

 

Academic responses to Africa’s constitutional crises 

Reflecting on the goals of the Winter School, he noted: “We thought it incumbent on ourselves as thinkers on constitutionalism in Africa to be relevant in responding to actual conditions on the continent.” He added that the participants’ engagement reinforced this purpose: “They asked some of the most searching, hardest questions, which means that our concerns are not just parochial scholarly concerns, but concerns that respond to realities and changes in our environment.” The Winter School, he emphasised, aligns with the ambitions of the university itself: “… to be regionally engaged and to make a difference in terms of the development of our societies”.

The four-day programme included panel discussions, keynote lectures, and debates covering judicial independence, democratic backsliding, the militarisation of governance, and fragile transitions. Attendees examined not only how constitutionalism is being undermined, but also how institutions, civil society, and legal scholars might better protect and advance it.

Among those who attended was Prof Azubike Onuora-Oguno, also from the University of Ilorin. “It’s a continuation of a process I have faith in,” he said, reflecting on his second Winter School experience. “The content of the presentations has been rich, engaging, very rewarding. We’re excited for what the future holds. I’m already thinking how 2026 would look like and I can bet you, it will be a blockbuster.”

He added: “Legal cultures are different. You could see that perception and perspective from the different African countries. We need this to shape the Africa we want, building toward the ideal… The continuation of this would ensure that we are doing our bit as academics to build a robust continent where we can interrogate issues, influence policies, and hopefully ground a better Africa.”

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Inaugural lecture: Prof. Phillipe Burger
2007-11-26

 

Attending the lecture were, from the left: Prof. Tienie Crous (Dean of the Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences at the UFS), Prof. Phillipe Burger (Departmental Chairperson of the Department of Economics at the UFS), and Prof. Frederick Fourie (Rector and Vice-Chancellor of the UFS).
Photo: Stephen Collet

 
A summary of an inaugural lecture presented by Prof. Phillipe Burger on the topic: “The ups and downs of the South African Economy: Rough seas or smooth sailing?”

South African business cycle shows reduction in volatility

Better monetary policy and improvements in the financial sector that place less liquidity constraints on individuals is one of the main reasons for the reduction in the volatility of the South African economy. The improvement in access to the financial sector also enables individuals to manage their debt better.

These are some of the findings in an analysis on the volatility of the South African business cycle done by Prof. Philippe Burger, Departmental Chairperson of the University of the Free State’s (UFS) Department of Economics.

Prof. Burger delivered his inaugural lecture last night (22 November 2007) on the Main Campus in Bloemfontein on the topic “The ups and downs of the South African Economy: Rough seas or smooth sailing?”

In his lecture, Prof. Burger emphasised a few key aspects of the South African business cycle and indicated how it changed during the periods 1960-1976, 1976-1994 en 1994-2006.

With the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as an indicator of the business cycle, the analysis identified the variables that showed the highest correlation with the GDP. During the periods 1976-1994 and 1994-2006, these included durable consumption, manufacturing investment, private sector investment, as well as investment in machinery and non-residential buildings. Other variables that also show a high correlation with the GDP are imports, non-durable consumption, investment in the financial services sector, investment by general government, as well as investment in residential buildings.

Prof. Burger’s analysis also shows that changes in durable consumption, investment in the manufacturing sector, investment in the private sector, as well as investment in non-residential buildings preceded changes in the GDP. If changes in a variable such as durable consumption precede changes in the GDP, it is an indication that durable consumption is one of the drivers of the business cycle. The up or down swing of durable consumption may, in other words, just as well contribute to an up or down swing in the business cycle.

A surprising finding of the analysis is the particularly strong role durable consumption has played in the business cycle since 1994. This finding is especially surprising due to the fact that durable consumption only constitutes about 12% of the total household consumption.

A further surprising finding is the particularly small role exports have been playing since 1960 as a driver of the business cycle. In South Africa it is still generally accepted that exports are one of the most important drivers of the business cycle. It is generally accepted that, should the business cycles of South Africa’s most important trade partners show an upward phase; these partners will purchase more from South Africa. This increase in exports will contribute to the South African economy moving upward. Prof. Burger’s analyses shows, however, that exports have generally never fulfil this role.

Over and above the identification of the drivers of the South African business cycle, Prof. Burger’s analysis also investigated the volatility of the business cycle.

When the periods 1976-1994 and 1994-2006 are compared, the analysis shows that the volatility of the business cycle has reduced since 1994 with more than half. The reduction in volatility can be traced to the reduction in the volatility of household consumption (especially durables and services), as well as a reduction in the volatility of investment in machinery, non-residential buildings and transport equipment. The last three coincide with the general reduction in the volatility of investment in the manufacturing sector. Investment in sectors such as electricity and transport (not to be confused with investment in transport equipment by various sectors) which are strongly dominated by the government, did not contribute to the decrease in volatility.

In his analysis, Prof. Burger supplies reasons for the reduction in volatility. One of the explanations is the reduction in the shocks affecting the economy – especially in the South African context. Another explanation is the application of an improved monetary policy by the South African Reserve Bank since the mid 1990’s. A third explanation is the better access to liquidity and credit since the mid 1990’s, which enables the better management of household finance and the absorption of financial shocks.

A further reason which contributed to the reduction in volatility in countries such as the United States of America’s business cycle is better inventory management. While the volatility of inventory in South Africa has also reduced there is, according to Prof. Burger, little proof that better inventory management contributed to the reduction in volatility of the GDP.

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